Virsliga · Latvia · Skonto stadions

Riga

DDWDW
Postponed

Rīgas FS

WWWWW

Riga vs Rīgas FS prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.30

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
O2.5

Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.08 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.

Quick tips for this match

ResultRīgas FS to win38% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.61

Win chances

Riga35%fair 2.89 · @2.80
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @2.62
Rīgas FS38%fair 2.63 · @2.60
2.95Expected goals
1.44Riga xG
1.51Rīgas FS xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%

From our goals model: Riga 1.4 – 1.5 Rīgas FS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Riga and Rīgas FS on our numbers – 35% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 27% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Riga have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (2W 4D 0L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.0 per game. Rīgas FS have 16 points from their last 6 (5W 1D 0L), averaging 2.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. Rīgas FS come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.0 goals (1.4 for Riga, 1.5 for Rīgas FS). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).

In their last 4 meetings, Riga have won 2, Rīgas FS have won 0 and 2 ended level, with an average of 5.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.32. For a bigger price, Over 2.5 goals at 2.08 is our value angle (51% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRīgas FS to win38%2.632.60
Double chanceEither team to win73%1.381.40
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score58%1.711.73
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals76%1.321.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals51%1.962.08 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals70%1.441.28
Half-time resultLevel at half-time40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rīgas FS / FT Rīgas FS23%4.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%11.61–

Form

Riga – last 6

DDWDWD
5 Novvs FK Jablonec1–1D
1 Nov@ Ogre United0–0D
26 Oct@ Grobiņa5–2W
22 Oct@ Pafos1–1D
18 Octvs Super Nova2–1W
15 Octvs Kairat Almaty1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Rīgas FS – last 6

WWWWWD
1 Novvs Grobiņa3–0W
25 Oct@ Super Nova3–0W
19 Octvs Tukums2–0W
15 Octvs Super Nova4–0W
11 Octvs FS Jelgava4–2W
20 Sep@ Auda1–1D
2.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Sep 2026Rīgas FS v Riga2–3
23 Aug 2026Rīgas FS v Riga3–3
17 Jun 2026Riga v Rīgas FS2–1
28 Apr 2026Rīgas FS v Riga3–3

More Virsliga predictions

FT Grobiņa1 FK Liepaja2 141966 X2FK Liepaja or draw 86%@1.22 ✓ FT FS Jelgava4 Ogre United0 582418 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.53 ✗ FT Super Nova1 BFC Daugavpils1 322147 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓ FT Tukums1 Auda2 191764 2Auda to win 64%@1.42 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Riga vs Rīgas FS?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Riga vs Rīgas FS?

On our numbers Riga have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Rīgas FS 38%.

How many goals will there be in Riga vs Rīgas FS?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

When is Riga vs Rīgas FS?

Riga vs Rīgas FS (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.