Virsliga · Latvia

Grobiņa

LLWLD
1–2
FT

FK Liepaja

DDWLD

Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja prediction & analysis

86%
Footrivo pick

FK Liepaja or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: FK Liepaja to win @ 1.73 – our chance 66% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultFK Liepaja to win ✓66% · @1.73
Double chanceFK Liepaja or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.36

Win chances

Grobiņa14%fair 6.94 · @3.90
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @3.70
FK Liepaja66%fair 1.51 · @1.73
2.86Expected goals
0.82Grobiņa xG
2.04FK Liepaja xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%

From our goals model: Grobiņa 0.8 – 2.0 FK Liepaja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

FK Liepaja travel as clear favourites – 66% to win, against 14% for Grobiņa.

Grobiņa have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.2 per game. FK Liepaja have 7 points from their last 6 (1W 4D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.

We expect around 2.9 goals (0.8 for Grobiņa, 2.0 for FK Liepaja). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 0–2 (12%), 0–1 (12%), 1–2 (10%).

In their last 3 meetings, Grobiņa have won 1, FK Liepaja have won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.3 goals per game.

Our pick is FK Liepaja or draw at a 86% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is better than our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, FK Liepaja to win at 1.73 is our value angle (66% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFK Liepaja to win ✓66%1.511.73 ▲
Double chanceFK Liepaja or draw ✓86%1.171.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.781.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.531.50
Half-time resultFK Liepaja ahead at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT FK Liepaja / FT FK Liepaja ✗43%2.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12%8.36–

Form

Grobiņa – last 6

LLWLDD
1 Nov@ Rīgas FS0–3L
26 Octvs Riga2–5L
17 Octvs Ogre United3–2W
10 Oct@ Super Nova1–2L
20 Sep@ Tukums1–1D
12 Sepvs FS Jelgava0–0D
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

FK Liepaja – last 6

DDWLDD
1 Novvs Super Nova3–3D
24 Octvs Tukums0–0D
18 Octvs FS Jelgava3–0W
12 Octvs Auda2–3L
19 Sepvs BFC Daugavpils0–0D
11 Sep@ Ogre United2–2D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Aug 2026FK Liepaja v Grobiņa3–1
16 Jun 2026Grobiņa v FK Liepaja1–0
28 Apr 2026FK Liepaja v Grobiņa1–1

More Virsliga predictions

FT FS Jelgava4 Ogre United0 582418 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.53 ✗ Postponed Riga Rīgas FS 352738 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.30 FT Super Nova1 BFC Daugavpils1 322147 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓ FT Tukums1 Auda2 191764 2Auda to win 64%@1.42 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja?

Our pick is FK Liepaja or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja?

On our numbers Grobiņa have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FK Liepaja 66%.

How many goals will there be in Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

When is Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja?

Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.