FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
BFC Daugavpils to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBFC Daugavpils to win ✓63% · @1.62
Double chanceBFC Daugavpils or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 7.02
FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils preview and prediction
The match
The Virsliga sees FS Jelgava take on BFC Daugavpils on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Olympic Sports Center of Zemgale. FS Jelgava are 7th with 35 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while BFC Daugavpils sit 4th on 52 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FS Jelgava's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to FK Liepaja 0–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
BFC Daugavpils's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Auda 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
BFC Daugavpils arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 August 2026, finished BFC Daugavpils 2–1 FS Jelgava. Across their last 3 meetings FS Jelgava have won 0, BFC Daugavpils 2, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for FS Jelgava and 1.8 for BFC Daugavpils. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FS Jelgava 16%, draw 21%, BFC Daugavpils 63%.
Safer route: BFC Daugavpils or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was BFC Daugavpils to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: FS Jelgava 0–1 BFC Daugavpils. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FS Jelgava16%fair 6.13 · @4.50
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.75
BFC Daugavpils63%fair 1.59 · @1.62
2.52Expected goals
0.75FS Jelgava xG
1.77BFC Daugavpils xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: FS Jelgava 0.7 – 1.8 BFC Daugavpils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our pick is BFC Daugavpils to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
On our numbers FS Jelgava have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and BFC Daugavpils 63%.
How many goals will there be in FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our predicted score is FS Jelgava 0–1 BFC Daugavpils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Olympic Sports Center of Zemgale.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
