The Virsliga sees Super Nova take on Rīgas FS on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Olaines Pilsetas Stadions. Super Nova are 6th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Rīgas FS sit 1st on 89 points (top of the table). A gap of 49 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Super Nova's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Riga 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Rīgas FS's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Tukums 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rīgas FS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 October 2026, finished Rīgas FS 4–0 Super Nova. Across their last 3 meetings Super Nova have won 0, Rīgas FS 3, with 0 draws and 2.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.7 for Super Nova and 2.1 for Rīgas FS. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Super Nova 14%, draw 15%, Rīgas FS 71%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.10.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 1.99, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Super Nova 1–2 Rīgas FS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Super Nova14%fair 7.11 · @12.00
Draw15%fair 6.82 · @6.50
Rīgas FS71%fair 1.40 · @1.17
2.79Expected goals
0.72Super Nova xG
2.07Rīgas FS xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–213%
0–113%
1–29%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: Super Nova 0.7 – 2.1 Rīgas FS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Super Nova vs Rīgas FS?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Super Nova vs Rīgas FS?
On our numbers Super Nova have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Rīgas FS 71%.
How many goals will there be in Super Nova vs Rīgas FS?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Super Nova vs Rīgas FS?
Our predicted score is Super Nova 1–2 Rīgas FS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Super Nova vs Rīgas FS?
Super Nova vs Rīgas FS (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Olaines Pilsetas Stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
