Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14% · fair 7.02
Riga vs Super Nova preview and prediction
The match
Super Nova travel to Skonto stadions in the Virsliga on Sunday 18 October (14:00 WAT) to face Riga. Riga are 2nd with 83 points from 35 games (in the top four), while Super Nova sit 6th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 43 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Riga's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Kairat Almaty 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Super Nova's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Rīgas FS 0–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Riga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 September 2026, finished Super Nova 0–1 Riga. Across their last 3 meetings Riga have won 3, Super Nova 0, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.4 for Riga and 0.6 for Super Nova. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 49% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Riga 78%, draw 15%, Super Nova 7%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Riga 2–0 Super Nova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Riga78%fair 1.28 · @1.10
Draw15%fair 6.81 · @8.50
Super Nova7%fair 13.45 · @19.00
3.03Expected goals
2.43Riga xG
0.60Super Nova xG
49%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–012%
3–012%
2–19%
1–17%
4–07%
From our goals model: Riga 2.4 – 0.6 Super Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Riga vs Super Nova?
On our numbers Riga have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Super Nova 7%.
How many goals will there be in Riga vs Super Nova?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Riga vs Super Nova?
Our predicted score is Riga 2–0 Super Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Riga vs Super Nova?
Riga vs Super Nova (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
