Rīgas FS host FS Jelgava in the Virsliga on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Bislett Stadium. Rīgas FS are 1st with 89 points from 35 games (top of the table), while FS Jelgava sit 7th on 35 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 54 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rīgas FS's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Auda 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
FS Jelgava's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Riga 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 July 2026, finished FS Jelgava 0–1 Rīgas FS. Across their last 4 meetings Rīgas FS have won 4, FS Jelgava 0, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Rīgas FS and 0.7 for FS Jelgava. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rīgas FS 70%, draw 19%, FS Jelgava 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.10.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 2.00, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rīgas FS 2–1 FS Jelgava. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rīgas FS70%fair 1.43 · @1.14
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @7.00
FS Jelgava11%fair 9.08 · @15.00
2.85Expected goals
2.13Rīgas FS xG
0.72FS Jelgava xG
50%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Rīgas FS 2.1 – 0.7 FS Jelgava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava?
On our numbers Rīgas FS have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FS Jelgava 11%.
How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava?
Our predicted score is Rīgas FS 2–1 FS Jelgava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava?
Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Bislett Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
