Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTukums to win ✗38% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.84
Tukums vs Grobiņa preview and prediction
The match
Grobiņa travel to face Tukums in the Virsliga on Sunday 20 September (14:00 WAT). Tukums are 9th with 25 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Grobiņa sit 8th on 29 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Tukums's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Super Nova 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Grobiņa's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with FS Jelgava 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 July 2026, finished Grobiņa 3–1 Tukums. Across their last 2 meetings Tukums have won 0, Grobiņa 1, with 1 draw and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Tukums and 1.4 for Grobiņa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tukums 38%, draw 24%, Grobiņa 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Tukums 1–1 Grobiņa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tukums38%fair 2.62 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
Grobiņa37%fair 2.68 · @2.62
2.90Expected goals
1.46Tukums xG
1.44Grobiņa xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tukums 1.5 – 1.4 Grobiņa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Tukums vs Grobiņa?
On our numbers Tukums have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Grobiņa 37%.
How many goals will there be in Tukums vs Grobiņa?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tukums vs Grobiņa?
Our predicted score is Tukums 1–1 Grobiņa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Tukums vs Grobiņa?
Tukums vs Grobiņa (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
