Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Rīgas FS to win @ 1.70 – our chance 62% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRīgas FS to win ✗62% · @1.70
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.96
Auda vs Rīgas FS preview and prediction
The match
Rīgas FS travel to Skonto stadions in the Virsliga on Sunday 20 September (16:00 WAT) to face Auda. Auda are 3rd with 73 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Rīgas FS sit 1st on 89 points (top of the table). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Auda's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Ogre United 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rīgas FS's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat BFC Daugavpils 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 July 2026, finished Rīgas FS 1–1 Auda. Across their last 3 meetings Auda have won 1, Rīgas FS 1, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.9 for Auda and 1.9 for Rīgas FS. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Auda 19%, draw 19%, Rīgas FS 62%.
Safer route: Rīgas FS or draw (81%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Rīgas FS to win at 1.70 – 62% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rīgas FS or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Auda 0–1 Rīgas FS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Auda19%fair 5.34 · @4.20
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @3.60
Rīgas FS62%fair 1.60 · @1.70
2.85Expected goals
0.92Auda xG
1.93Rīgas FS xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Auda 0.9 – 1.9 Rīgas FS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Rīgas FS or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Auda vs Rīgas FS?
On our numbers Auda have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Rīgas FS 62%.
How many goals will there be in Auda vs Rīgas FS?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auda vs Rīgas FS?
Our predicted score is Auda 0–1 Rīgas FS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Auda vs Rīgas FS?
Auda vs Rīgas FS (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
