Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRiga to win ✓63% · @1.38
Double chanceRiga or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.17
FS Jelgava vs Riga preview and prediction
The match
Riga travel to Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs in the Virsliga on Saturday 19 September (14:00 WAT) to face FS Jelgava. FS Jelgava are 7th with 35 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Riga sit 2nd on 83 points (in the top four). A gap of 48 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FS Jelgava's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Grobiņa 0–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Riga's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Super Nova 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Riga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 July 2026, finished Riga 3–0 FS Jelgava.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.0 for FS Jelgava and 2.2 for Riga. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: FS Jelgava 14%, draw 23%, Riga 63%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FS Jelgava 1–2 Riga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FS Jelgava14%fair 7.17 · @5.75
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @4.50
Riga63%fair 1.59 · @1.38
3.24Expected goals
1.01FS Jelgava xG
2.23Riga xG
61%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–210%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: FS Jelgava 1.0 – 2.2 Riga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win FS Jelgava vs Riga?
On our numbers FS Jelgava have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Riga 63%.
How many goals will there be in FS Jelgava vs Riga?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FS Jelgava vs Riga?
Our predicted score is FS Jelgava 1–2 Riga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is FS Jelgava vs Riga?
FS Jelgava vs Riga (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
