FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
FK Liepaja to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFK Liepaja to win ✗63% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗86% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.56
FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils preview and prediction
The match
BFC Daugavpils travel to Daugavas stadions in the Virsliga on Saturday 19 September (12:00 WAT) to face FK Liepaja. FK Liepaja are 5th with 51 points from 36 games (in the top half), while BFC Daugavpils sit 4th on 52 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FK Liepaja's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Ogre United 2–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
BFC Daugavpils's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Rīgas FS 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
FK Liepaja arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 July 2026, finished BFC Daugavpils 3–1 FK Liepaja. Across their last 3 meetings FK Liepaja have won 1, BFC Daugavpils 2, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for FK Liepaja and 0.8 for BFC Daugavpils. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Liepaja 63%, draw 14%, BFC Daugavpils 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FK Liepaja to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FK Liepaja 1–0 BFC Daugavpils. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Liepaja63%fair 1.58 · @1.95
Draw14%fair 7.16 · @3.30
BFC Daugavpils23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
2.57Expected goals
1.73FK Liepaja xG
0.84BFC Daugavpils xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 1.7 – 0.8 BFC Daugavpils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our pick is FK Liepaja to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 14% and BFC Daugavpils 23%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 1–0 BFC Daugavpils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
