Value bet: FS Jelgava to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFS Jelgava to win ✗62% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.36
FS Jelgava vs Super Nova preview and prediction
The match
Super Nova travel to Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs in the Virsliga on Saturday 5 September (15:00 WAT) to face FS Jelgava. FS Jelgava are 7th with 35 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Super Nova sit 6th on 40 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
FS Jelgava's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Tukums 4–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Super Nova's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Auda 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 June 2026, finished Super Nova 1–5 FS Jelgava. Across their last 3 meetings FS Jelgava have won 2, Super Nova 0, with 1 draw and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for FS Jelgava and 0.9 for Super Nova. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FS Jelgava 62%, draw 17%, Super Nova 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.73.
Value angle: FS Jelgava to win at 1.95 – 62% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: FS Jelgava 2–0 Super Nova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FS Jelgava62%fair 1.61 · @1.95
Draw17%fair 5.94 · @3.40
Super Nova21%fair 4.76 · @3.25
2.73Expected goals
1.83FS Jelgava xG
0.90Super Nova xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: FS Jelgava 1.8 – 0.9 Super Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FS Jelgava vs Super Nova?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FS Jelgava vs Super Nova?
On our numbers FS Jelgava have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Super Nova 21%.
How many goals will there be in FS Jelgava vs Super Nova?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FS Jelgava vs Super Nova?
Our predicted score is FS Jelgava 2–0 Super Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is FS Jelgava vs Super Nova?
FS Jelgava vs Super Nova (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
