Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFS Jelgava to win ✓40% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.62
Tukums vs FS Jelgava preview and prediction
The match
FS Jelgava travel to face Tukums in the Virsliga on Saturday 29 August (15:00 WAT). Tukums are 9th with 25 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while FS Jelgava sit 7th on 35 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Tukums's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Auda 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
FS Jelgava's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Ogre United 3–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 June 2026, finished FS Jelgava 4–1 Tukums. Across their last 3 meetings Tukums have won 1, FS Jelgava 2, with 0 draws and 4.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for Tukums and 1.6 for FS Jelgava. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tukums 1–1 FS Jelgava. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tukums36%fair 2.76 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.20
FS Jelgava40%fair 2.51 · @2.40
3.11Expected goals
1.51Tukums xG
1.60FS Jelgava xG
65%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: Tukums 1.5 – 1.6 FS Jelgava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Tukums vs FS Jelgava?
On our numbers Tukums have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FS Jelgava 40%.
How many goals will there be in Tukums vs FS Jelgava?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tukums vs FS Jelgava?
Our predicted score is Tukums 1–1 FS Jelgava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Tukums vs FS Jelgava?
Tukums vs FS Jelgava (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
