Value bet: BFC Daugavpils to win @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBFC Daugavpils to win ✗50% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.05
Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils preview and prediction
The match
The Virsliga sees Grobiņa take on BFC Daugavpils on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Grobiņa are 8th with 29 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while BFC Daugavpils sit 4th on 52 points (in the top four). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Grobiņa's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to FK Liepaja 1–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 3.2 conceded.
BFC Daugavpils's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Super Nova 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
BFC Daugavpils arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 June 2026, finished BFC Daugavpils 1–0 Grobiņa. Across their last 3 meetings Grobiņa have won 1, BFC Daugavpils 1, with 1 draw and 1.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.0 for Grobiņa and 1.5 for BFC Daugavpils. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Grobiņa 29%, draw 21%, BFC Daugavpils 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.67.
Value angle: BFC Daugavpils to win at 2.20 – 50% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Grobiņa 1–1 BFC Daugavpils. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Grobiņa29%fair 3.46 · @2.80
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.25
BFC Daugavpils50%fair 1.99 · @2.20
2.46Expected goals
1.01Grobiņa xG
1.45BFC Daugavpils xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–09%
0–09%
From our goals model: Grobiņa 1.0 – 1.5 BFC Daugavpils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils?
On our numbers Grobiņa have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and BFC Daugavpils 50%.
How many goals will there be in Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our predicted score is Grobiņa 1–1 BFC Daugavpils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils?
Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
