The Virsliga sees FK Liepaja take on Grobiņa on Friday 21 August, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Daugavas stadions. FK Liepaja are 5th with 51 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Grobiņa sit 8th on 29 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FK Liepaja's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Super Nova 2–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Grobiņa's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Auda 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 2.7 conceded.
FK Liepaja arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 June 2026, finished Grobiņa 1–0 FK Liepaja. Across their last 2 meetings FK Liepaja have won 0, Grobiņa 1, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for FK Liepaja and 0.8 for Grobiņa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Liepaja 64%, draw 20%, Grobiņa 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: FK Liepaja 2–0 Grobiņa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Liepaja64%fair 1.56 · @1.60
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.80
Grobiņa16%fair 6.44 · @4.60
2.82Expected goals
1.98FK Liepaja xG
0.84Grobiņa xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 2.0 – 0.8 Grobiņa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Grobiņa 16%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 2–0 Grobiņa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa?
FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
