Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.64 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.64Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAuda to win ✓63% · @1.64
Double chanceAuda or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.63
Auda vs Tukums preview and prediction
The match
The Virsliga sees Auda take on Tukums on Friday 21 August, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Skonto stadions. Auda are 3rd with 73 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Tukums sit 9th on 25 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 48 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Auda's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Grobiņa 2–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tukums's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to BFC Daugavpils 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Auda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 June 2026, finished Tukums 2–1 Auda. Across their last 2 meetings Auda have won 1, Tukums 1, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Auda and 1.0 for Tukums. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Auda 63%, draw 22%, Tukums 15%.
Safer route: Auda or draw (85%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Auda to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.64, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Auda 2–0 Tukums. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Auda63%fair 1.60 · @1.64
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @4.00
Tukums15%fair 6.64 · @4.20
3.06Expected goals
2.10Auda xG
0.96Tukums xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Auda 2.1 – 1.0 Tukums expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Auda to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.64.
Who will win Auda vs Tukums?
On our numbers Auda have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tukums 15%.
How many goals will there be in Auda vs Tukums?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auda vs Tukums?
Our predicted score is Auda 2–0 Tukums, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Auda vs Tukums?
Auda vs Tukums (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
