Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils preview and prediction
The match
Super Nova host BFC Daugavpils in the Virsliga on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at Jana Skredela stadions. Super Nova are 6th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while BFC Daugavpils sit 4th on 52 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Super Nova's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Rīgas FS 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
BFC Daugavpils's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Ogre United 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
BFC Daugavpils arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 June 2026, finished BFC Daugavpils 0–0 Super Nova. Across their last 2 meetings Super Nova have won 1, BFC Daugavpils 0, with 1 draw and 0.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Super Nova and 1.5 for BFC Daugavpils. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Super Nova 34%, draw 20%, BFC Daugavpils 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Super Nova 1–1 BFC Daugavpils. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Super Nova34%fair 2.98 · @3.10
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.50
BFC Daugavpils46%fair 2.17 · @2.05
2.66Expected goals
1.19Super Nova xG
1.46BFC Daugavpils xG
62%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Super Nova 1.2 – 1.5 BFC Daugavpils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?
On our numbers Super Nova have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 20% and BFC Daugavpils 46%.
How many goals will there be in Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our predicted score is Super Nova 1–1 BFC Daugavpils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?
Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Jana Skredela stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
