Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRiga to win ✓78% · @1.11
Double chanceRiga or draw ✓92% · fair 1.09
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.09
Riga vs Grobiņa preview and prediction
The match
Grobiņa travel to Skonto stadions in the Virsliga on Sunday 2 August (16:00 WAT) to face Riga. Riga are 2nd with 83 points from 35 games (in the top four), while Grobiņa sit 8th on 29 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 54 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Riga's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Vardar Skopje 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Grobiņa's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Ogre United 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 April 2026, finished Grobiņa 0–3 Riga.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.6 for Riga and 0.7 for Grobiņa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 47% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Riga 78%, draw 14%, Grobiņa 8%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Riga 3–0 Grobiņa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Riga78%fair 1.29 · @1.11
Draw14%fair 7.03 · @7.00
Grobiņa8%fair 12.15 · @17.00
3.29Expected goals
2.57Riga xG
0.71Grobiņa xG
47%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
3–011%
1–010%
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Riga 2.6 – 0.7 Grobiņa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Riga vs Grobiņa?
On our numbers Riga have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Grobiņa 8%.
How many goals will there be in Riga vs Grobiņa?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Riga vs Grobiņa?
Our predicted score is Riga 3–0 Grobiņa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Riga vs Grobiņa?
Riga vs Grobiņa (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
