Value bet: Grobiņa to win @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGrobiņa to win ✗64% · @1.67
Double chanceGrobiņa or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.97
Grobiņa vs Ogre United preview and prediction
The match
The Virsliga sees Grobiņa take on Ogre United on Monday 27 July, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Grobiņa are 8th with 29 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Ogre United sit 10th on 19 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Grobiņa's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Super Nova 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ogre United's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to BFC Daugavpils 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 3.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 May 2026, finished Ogre United 1–1 Grobiņa. Across their last 2 meetings Grobiņa have won 0, Ogre United 0, with 2 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Grobiņa and 0.8 for Ogre United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Grobiņa 64%, draw 19%, Ogre United 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Grobiņa to win at 1.67 – 64% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Grobiņa 2–0 Ogre United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Grobiņa64%fair 1.56 · @1.67
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @3.55
Ogre United17%fair 5.94 · @4.60
2.72Expected goals
1.90Grobiņa xG
0.82Ogre United xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Grobiņa 1.9 – 0.8 Ogre United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Grobiņa vs Ogre United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Grobiņa vs Ogre United?
On our numbers Grobiņa have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ogre United 17%.
How many goals will there be in Grobiņa vs Ogre United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grobiņa vs Ogre United?
Our predicted score is Grobiņa 2–0 Ogre United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Grobiņa vs Ogre United?
Grobiņa vs Ogre United (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 27 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
