Rīgas FS travel to face Tukums in the Virsliga on Monday 27 July (16:00 WAT). Tukums are 9th with 25 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Rīgas FS sit 1st on 89 points (top of the table). A gap of 64 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tukums's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Riga 1–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Rīgas FS's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Vestri 4–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rīgas FS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 May 2026, finished Rīgas FS 3–1 Tukums. Across their last 2 meetings Tukums have won 0, Rīgas FS 2, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 0.8 for Tukums and 2.6 for Rīgas FS. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tukums 7%, draw 19%, Rīgas FS 74%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rīgas FS to win – a 74% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Tukums 0–2 Rīgas FS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tukums7%fair 14.87 · @9.50
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @5.60
Rīgas FS74%fair 1.35 · @1.22
3.43Expected goals
0.80Tukums xG
2.63Rīgas FS xG
57%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–310%
1–29%
0–19%
1–38%
1–17%
From our goals model: Tukums 0.8 – 2.6 Rīgas FS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Rīgas FS to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tukums vs Rīgas FS?
On our numbers Tukums have a 7% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Rīgas FS 74%.
How many goals will there be in Tukums vs Rīgas FS?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tukums vs Rīgas FS?
Our predicted score is Tukums 0–2 Rīgas FS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Tukums vs Rīgas FS?
Tukums vs Rīgas FS (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 27 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
