Value bet: Auda to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAuda to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 8.87
Auda vs BFC Daugavpils preview and prediction
The match
The Virsliga sees Auda take on BFC Daugavpils on Sunday 26 July, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Skonto stadions. Auda are 3rd with 73 points from 36 games (in the top four), while BFC Daugavpils sit 4th on 52 points (in the top four). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Auda's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat FCSB 3–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
BFC Daugavpils's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Ogre United 4–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 May 2026, finished BFC Daugavpils 0–1 Auda. Across their last 2 meetings Auda have won 1, BFC Daugavpils 1, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Auda and 0.9 for BFC Daugavpils. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Auda 64%, draw 13%, BFC Daugavpils 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Auda to win at 1.80 – 64% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Auda 2–0 BFC Daugavpils. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Auda64%fair 1.55 · @1.80
Draw13%fair 7.66 · @3.70
BFC Daugavpils22%fair 4.45 · @3.65
2.82Expected goals
1.89Auda xG
0.93BFC Daugavpils xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Auda 1.9 – 0.9 BFC Daugavpils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Auda vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Auda vs BFC Daugavpils?
On our numbers Auda have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 13% and BFC Daugavpils 22%.
How many goals will there be in Auda vs BFC Daugavpils?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auda vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our predicted score is Auda 2–0 BFC Daugavpils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Auda vs BFC Daugavpils?
Auda vs BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
