FK Liepaja travel to Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs in the Virsliga on Sunday 26 July (16:30 WAT) to face FS Jelgava. FS Jelgava are 7th with 35 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while FK Liepaja sit 5th on 51 points (in the top half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FS Jelgava's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Rīgas FS 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
FK Liepaja's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Austria Vienna 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 May 2026, finished FS Jelgava 1–1 FK Liepaja. Across their last 2 meetings FS Jelgava have won 0, FK Liepaja 1, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for FS Jelgava and 1.4 for FK Liepaja. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FS Jelgava 41%, draw 22%, FK Liepaja 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: FS Jelgava 1–1 FK Liepaja. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FS Jelgava41%fair 2.42 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.50
FK Liepaja36%fair 2.76 · @2.90
2.82Expected goals
1.47FS Jelgava xG
1.36FK Liepaja xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: FS Jelgava 1.5 – 1.4 FK Liepaja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FS Jelgava vs FK Liepaja?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FS Jelgava vs FK Liepaja?
On our numbers FS Jelgava have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FK Liepaja 36%.
How many goals will there be in FS Jelgava vs FK Liepaja?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FS Jelgava vs FK Liepaja?
Our predicted score is FS Jelgava 1–1 FK Liepaja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FS Jelgava vs FK Liepaja?
FS Jelgava vs FK Liepaja (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
