The Virsliga sees FS Jelgava take on Rīgas FS on Monday 20 July, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs. FS Jelgava are 7th with 35 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Rīgas FS sit 1st on 89 points (top of the table). A gap of 54 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FS Jelgava's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Rīgas FS 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Rīgas FS's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Glentoran 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rīgas FS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 July 2026, finished Rīgas FS 2–0 FS Jelgava. Across their last 3 meetings FS Jelgava have won 0, Rīgas FS 3, with 0 draws and 2.3 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.8 for FS Jelgava and 2.2 for Rīgas FS. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: FS Jelgava 10%, draw 20%, Rīgas FS 70%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rīgas FS to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: FS Jelgava 0–2 Rīgas FS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FS Jelgava10%fair 9.92 · @8.25
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @4.60
Rīgas FS70%fair 1.44 · @1.30
3.03Expected goals
0.83FS Jelgava xG
2.20Rīgas FS xG
54%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: FS Jelgava 0.8 – 2.2 Rīgas FS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS?
Our pick is Rīgas FS to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS?
On our numbers FS Jelgava have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rīgas FS 70%.
How many goals will there be in FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS?
Our predicted score is FS Jelgava 0–2 Rīgas FS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS?
FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 20 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
