Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFK Liepaja to win ✓67% · @1.28
Double chanceFK Liepaja or draw ✓84% · fair 1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
FK Liepaja vs Ogre United preview and prediction
The match
Ogre United travel to Daugavas stadions in the Virsliga on Tuesday 30 June (17:00 WAT) to face FK Liepaja. FK Liepaja are 5th with 51 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Ogre United sit 10th on 19 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 32 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FK Liepaja's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Rīgas FS 0–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Ogre United's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Tukums 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 May 2026, finished FK Liepaja 4–1 Ogre United. Across their last 2 meetings FK Liepaja have won 2, Ogre United 0, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for FK Liepaja and 0.9 for Ogre United. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Liepaja 67%, draw 17%, Ogre United 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FK Liepaja 2–1 Ogre United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Liepaja67%fair 1.48 · @1.28
Draw17%fair 5.93 · @5.00
Ogre United16%fair 6.36 · @8.80
3.18Expected goals
2.23FK Liepaja xG
0.95Ogre United xG
60%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 2.2 – 0.9 Ogre United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FK Liepaja vs Ogre United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs Ogre United?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Ogre United 16%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs Ogre United?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs Ogre United?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 2–1 Ogre United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs Ogre United?
FK Liepaja vs Ogre United (Virsliga) kicks off on Tuesday 30 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
