Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRīgas FS to win ✓76% · @1.18
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓93% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.37
Rīgas FS vs BFC Daugavpils preview and prediction
The match
BFC Daugavpils travel to LNK Sporta Parks in the Virsliga on Tuesday 30 June (16:00 WAT) to face Rīgas FS. Rīgas FS are 1st with 89 points from 35 games (top of the table), while BFC Daugavpils sit 4th on 52 points (in the top four). A gap of 37 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rīgas FS's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat FK Liepaja 2–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
BFC Daugavpils's last 5: DWDDD Most recently they drew with Riga 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rīgas FS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 May 2026, finished BFC Daugavpils 0–1 Rīgas FS.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.4 for Rīgas FS and 0.6 for BFC Daugavpils. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rīgas FS 76%, draw 17%, BFC Daugavpils 7%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.93.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 59% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Rīgas FS 2–0 BFC Daugavpils. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rīgas FS76%fair 1.32 · @1.18
Draw17%fair 5.82 · @5.75
BFC Daugavpils7%fair 14.28 · @13.00
3.06Expected goals
2.42Rīgas FS xG
0.64BFC Daugavpils xG
51%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–011%
3–011%
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
From our goals model: Rīgas FS 2.4 – 0.6 BFC Daugavpils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rīgas FS vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Rīgas FS vs BFC Daugavpils?
On our numbers Rīgas FS have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 17% and BFC Daugavpils 7%.
How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS vs BFC Daugavpils?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our predicted score is Rīgas FS 2–0 BFC Daugavpils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Rīgas FS vs BFC Daugavpils?
Rīgas FS vs BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga) kicks off on Tuesday 30 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at LNK Sporta Parks.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
