Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRīgas FS to win ✓66% · @1.44
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓85% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✓11% · fair 9.23
FK Liepaja vs Rīgas FS preview and prediction
The match
FK Liepaja host Rīgas FS in the Virsliga on Friday 26 June, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Daugavas stadions. FK Liepaja are 5th with 51 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Rīgas FS sit 1st on 89 points (top of the table). A gap of 38 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FK Liepaja's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Riga 0–4 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Rīgas FS's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Ogre United 6–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game.
Rīgas FS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 May 2026, finished Rīgas FS 5–0 FK Liepaja. Across their last 2 meetings FK Liepaja have won 0, Rīgas FS 2, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.9 for FK Liepaja and 2.1 for Rīgas FS. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Liepaja 15%, draw 20%, Rīgas FS 66%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rīgas FS to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: FK Liepaja 0–2 Rīgas FS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Liepaja15%fair 6.80 · @5.75
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @4.40
Rīgas FS66%fair 1.52 · @1.44
3.06Expected goals
0.91FK Liepaja xG
2.15Rīgas FS xG
56%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 0.9 – 2.1 Rīgas FS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FK Liepaja vs Rīgas FS?
Our pick is Rīgas FS to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs Rīgas FS?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rīgas FS 66%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs Rīgas FS?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs Rīgas FS?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 0–2 Rīgas FS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs Rīgas FS?
FK Liepaja vs Rīgas FS (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
