Value bet: FS Jelgava to win @ 2.40 – our chance 47% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFS Jelgava to win ✓47% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.08
Super Nova vs FS Jelgava preview and prediction
The match
FS Jelgava travel to Jana Skredela stadions in the Virsliga on Thursday 25 June (18:00 WAT) to face Super Nova. Super Nova are 6th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while FS Jelgava sit 7th on 35 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Super Nova's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Auda 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
FS Jelgava's last 5: WLDDD Most recently they beat Tukums 4–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 May 2026, finished FS Jelgava 1–0 Super Nova. Across their last 2 meetings Super Nova have won 0, FS Jelgava 1, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Super Nova and 1.4 for FS Jelgava. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Super Nova 32%, draw 22%, FS Jelgava 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.70.
Value angle: FS Jelgava to win at 2.40 – 47% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Super Nova 1–1 FS Jelgava. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Super Nova32%fair 3.16 · @2.65
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.25
FS Jelgava47%fair 2.15 · @2.40
2.58Expected goals
1.13Super Nova xG
1.45FS Jelgava xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Super Nova 1.1 – 1.4 FS Jelgava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Super Nova vs FS Jelgava?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Super Nova vs FS Jelgava?
On our numbers Super Nova have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FS Jelgava 47%.
How many goals will there be in Super Nova vs FS Jelgava?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Super Nova vs FS Jelgava?
Our predicted score is Super Nova 1–1 FS Jelgava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Super Nova vs FS Jelgava?
Super Nova vs FS Jelgava (Virsliga) kicks off on Thursday 25 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Jana Skredela stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
