Riga travel to Stadions Celtnieks in the Virsliga on Thursday 25 June (16:00 WAT) to face BFC Daugavpils. BFC Daugavpils are 4th with 52 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Riga sit 2nd on 83 points (in the top four). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
BFC Daugavpils's last 5: WDDDL Most recently they beat Grobiņa 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Riga's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat FK Liepaja 4–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.
Riga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 May 2026, finished BFC Daugavpils 1–3 Riga.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 0.9 for BFC Daugavpils and 2.6 for Riga. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: BFC Daugavpils 8%, draw 20%, Riga 72%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Riga to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: BFC Daugavpils 0–2 Riga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
BFC Daugavpils8%fair 12.09 · @8.80
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @5.40
Riga72%fair 1.39 · @1.25
3.49Expected goals
0.89BFC Daugavpils xG
2.60Riga xG
58%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–29%
0–39%
1–38%
0–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: BFC Daugavpils 0.9 – 2.6 Riga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs Riga?
Our pick is Riga to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win BFC Daugavpils vs Riga?
On our numbers BFC Daugavpils have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Riga 72%.
How many goals will there be in BFC Daugavpils vs Riga?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BFC Daugavpils vs Riga?
Our predicted score is BFC Daugavpils 0–2 Riga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is BFC Daugavpils vs Riga?
BFC Daugavpils vs Riga (Virsliga) kicks off on Thursday 25 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadions Celtnieks.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
