FK Liepaja travel to Skonto stadions in the Virsliga on Sunday 21 June (16:00 WAT) to face Riga. Riga are 2nd with 83 points from 35 games (in the top four), while FK Liepaja sit 5th on 51 points (in the top half). A gap of 32 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Riga's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Rīgas FS 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.
FK Liepaja's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Grobiņa 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Riga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Riga 1–0 FK Liepaja.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.4 for Riga and 0.8 for FK Liepaja. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Riga 70%, draw 21%, FK Liepaja 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Riga to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Riga 2–0 FK Liepaja. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Riga70%fair 1.42 · @1.28
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @4.80
FK Liepaja8%fair 12.00 · @8.60
3.28Expected goals
2.45Riga xG
0.84FK Liepaja xG
55%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–19%
1–09%
3–09%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Riga 2.4 – 0.8 FK Liepaja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Riga to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Riga vs FK Liepaja?
On our numbers Riga have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FK Liepaja 8%.
How many goals will there be in Riga vs FK Liepaja?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Riga vs FK Liepaja?
Our predicted score is Riga 2–0 FK Liepaja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Riga vs FK Liepaja?
Riga vs FK Liepaja (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
