Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: FK Liepaja to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFK Liepaja to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceFK Liepaja or draw ✗82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja preview and prediction
The match
Grobiņa host FK Liepaja in the Virsliga on Tuesday 16 June, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Grobiņa are 8th with 29 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while FK Liepaja sit 5th on 51 points (in the top half). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Grobiņa's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Rīgas FS 1–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
FK Liepaja's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Super Nova 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
FK Liepaja arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 April 2026, finished FK Liepaja 1–1 Grobiņa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for Grobiņa and 1.8 for FK Liepaja. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Grobiņa 18%, draw 23%, FK Liepaja 58%.
Safer route: FK Liepaja or draw (82%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Value angle: FK Liepaja to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FK Liepaja or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Grobiņa 0–1 FK Liepaja. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Grobiņa18%fair 5.48 · @3.60
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.50
FK Liepaja58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
2.65Expected goals
0.88Grobiņa xG
1.77FK Liepaja xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: Grobiņa 0.9 – 1.8 FK Liepaja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is FK Liepaja or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja?
On our numbers Grobiņa have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FK Liepaja 58%.
How many goals will there be in Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja?
Our predicted score is Grobiņa 0–1 FK Liepaja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja?
Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja (Virsliga) kicks off on Tuesday 16 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
