BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova preview and prediction
The match
Super Nova travel to Stadions Celtnieks in the Virsliga on Tuesday 16 June (16:00 WAT) to face BFC Daugavpils. BFC Daugavpils are 4th with 52 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Super Nova sit 6th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
BFC Daugavpils's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Tukums 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Super Nova's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to FK Liepaja 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 April 2026, finished BFC Daugavpils 0–1 Super Nova.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for BFC Daugavpils and 0.9 for Super Nova. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: BFC Daugavpils 57%, draw 23%, Super Nova 20%.
Safer route: BFC Daugavpils or draw (80%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: BFC Daugavpils 1–1 Super Nova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
BFC Daugavpils57%fair 1.75 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.35
Super Nova20%fair 5.10 · @3.80
2.65Expected goals
1.74BFC Daugavpils xG
0.91Super Nova xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: BFC Daugavpils 1.7 – 0.9 Super Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova?
On our numbers BFC Daugavpils have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Super Nova 20%.
How many goals will there be in BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova?
Our predicted score is BFC Daugavpils 1–1 Super Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova?
BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova (Virsliga) kicks off on Tuesday 16 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadions Celtnieks.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
