The Virsliga sees FK Liepaja take on Super Nova on Friday 12 June, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Daugavas stadions. FK Liepaja are 5th with 51 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Super Nova sit 6th on 40 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
FK Liepaja's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Tukums 3–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Super Nova's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Rīgas FS 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
FK Liepaja arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 April 2026, finished Super Nova 1–2 FK Liepaja.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for FK Liepaja and 0.9 for Super Nova. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Liepaja 59%, draw 24%, Super Nova 17%.
Safer route: FK Liepaja or draw (83%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: FK Liepaja 2–0 Super Nova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Liepaja59%fair 1.69 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.65
Super Nova17%fair 5.80 · @4.33
2.76Expected goals
1.86FK Liepaja xG
0.91Super Nova xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 1.9 – 0.9 Super Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FK Liepaja vs Super Nova?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs Super Nova?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Super Nova 17%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs Super Nova?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs Super Nova?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 2–0 Super Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs Super Nova?
FK Liepaja vs Super Nova (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 12 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
