Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBFC Daugavpils to win ✗41% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.54
Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils preview and prediction
The match
Tukums host BFC Daugavpils in the Virsliga on Friday 12 June, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Tukums are 9th with 25 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while BFC Daugavpils sit 4th on 52 points (in the top four). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tukums's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to FK Liepaja 0–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
BFC Daugavpils's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with FS Jelgava 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Tukums arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 April 2026, finished Tukums 1–1 BFC Daugavpils.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Tukums and 1.6 for BFC Daugavpils. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tukums 37%, draw 22%, BFC Daugavpils 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Tukums 1–1 BFC Daugavpils. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tukums37%fair 2.73 · @2.45
Draw22%fair 4.44 · @3.45
BFC Daugavpils41%fair 2.44 · @2.45
3.03Expected goals
1.47Tukums xG
1.56BFC Daugavpils xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tukums 1.5 – 1.6 BFC Daugavpils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils?
On our numbers Tukums have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and BFC Daugavpils 41%.
How many goals will there be in Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our predicted score is Tukums 1–1 BFC Daugavpils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils?
Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 12 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
