Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAuda to win ✓71% · @1.14
Double chanceAuda or draw ✓91% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓10% · fair 9.66
Auda vs Ogre United preview and prediction
The match
The Virsliga sees Auda take on Ogre United on Saturday 30 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Skonto stadions. Auda are 3rd with 73 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Ogre United sit 10th on 19 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 54 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Auda's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat BFC Daugavpils 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Ogre United's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Grobiņa 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Auda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 April 2026, finished Ogre United 1–1 Auda.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.6 for Auda and 0.9 for Ogre United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Auda 71%, draw 20%, Ogre United 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Auda 2–1 Ogre United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Auda71%fair 1.41 · @1.14
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @6.50
Ogre United9%fair 11.54 · @14.00
3.46Expected goals
2.56Auda xG
0.89Ogre United xG
57%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–19%
3–09%
1–08%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Auda 2.6 – 0.9 Ogre United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Auda vs Ogre United?
On our numbers Auda have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ogre United 9%.
How many goals will there be in Auda vs Ogre United?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auda vs Ogre United?
Our predicted score is Auda 2–1 Ogre United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Auda vs Ogre United?
Auda vs Ogre United (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
