Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFK Liepaja to win ✓65% · @1.73
Double chanceFK Liepaja or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.04
FK Liepaja vs Tukums preview and prediction
The match
Tukums travel to Daugavas stadions in the Virsliga on Saturday 30 May (13:00 WAT) to face FK Liepaja. FK Liepaja are 5th with 51 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Tukums sit 9th on 25 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FK Liepaja's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with FS Jelgava 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Tukums's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Rīgas FS 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 April 2026, finished Tukums 2–2 FK Liepaja.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for FK Liepaja and 1.0 for Tukums. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Liepaja 65%, draw 18%, Tukums 16%.
Safer route: FK Liepaja or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FK Liepaja to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FK Liepaja 2–0 Tukums. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Liepaja65%fair 1.53 · @1.73
Draw18%fair 5.43 · @3.80
Tukums16%fair 6.13 · @3.90
3.19Expected goals
2.20FK Liepaja xG
0.99Tukums xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 2.2 – 1.0 Tukums expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is FK Liepaja to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs Tukums?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tukums 16%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs Tukums?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs Tukums?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 2–0 Tukums, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs Tukums?
FK Liepaja vs Tukums (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
