Grobiņa travel to Skonto stadions in the Virsliga on Friday 29 May (16:00 WAT) to face Riga. Riga are 2nd with 83 points from 35 games (in the top four), while Grobiņa sit 8th on 29 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 54 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Riga's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Super Nova 3–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Grobiņa's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Ogre United 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Riga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 April 2026, finished Grobiņa 0–3 Riga.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.6 for Riga and 0.9 for Grobiņa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Riga 74%, draw 14%, Grobiņa 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 2.15.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 2.15, above our fair price of 1.78, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Riga 2–1 Grobiņa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Riga74%fair 1.35 · @1.10
Draw14%fair 7.10 · @7.20
Grobiņa12%fair 8.45 · @18.00
3.49Expected goals
2.58Riga xG
0.91Grobiņa xG
56%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–19%
3–09%
3–18%
1–08%
1–17%
From our goals model: Riga 2.6 – 0.9 Grobiņa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.
Who will win Riga vs Grobiņa?
On our numbers Riga have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Grobiņa 12%.
How many goals will there be in Riga vs Grobiņa?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Riga vs Grobiņa?
Our predicted score is Riga 2–1 Grobiņa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Riga vs Grobiņa?
Riga vs Grobiņa (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
