Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Auda to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAuda to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.07
BFC Daugavpils vs Auda preview and prediction
The match
Auda travel to Stadions Celtnieks in the Virsliga on Tuesday 26 May (17:00 WAT) to face BFC Daugavpils. BFC Daugavpils are 4th with 52 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Auda sit 3rd on 73 points (in the top four). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
BFC Daugavpils's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Ogre United 3–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Auda's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat FK Liepaja 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Auda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Auda 2–3 BFC Daugavpils.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.1 for BFC Daugavpils and 2.0 for Auda. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: BFC Daugavpils 20%, draw 20%, Auda 59%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Auda to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: BFC Daugavpils 1–1 Auda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
BFC Daugavpils20%fair 4.88 · @3.45
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.60
Auda59%fair 1.68 · @1.85
3.07Expected goals
1.07BFC Daugavpils xG
2.00Auda xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: BFC Daugavpils 1.1 – 2.0 Auda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs Auda?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win BFC Daugavpils vs Auda?
On our numbers BFC Daugavpils have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Auda 59%.
How many goals will there be in BFC Daugavpils vs Auda?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BFC Daugavpils vs Auda?
Our predicted score is BFC Daugavpils 1–1 Auda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is BFC Daugavpils vs Auda?
BFC Daugavpils vs Auda (Virsliga) kicks off on Tuesday 26 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadions Celtnieks.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
