Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRīgas FS to win ✓75% · @1.13
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓91% · fair 1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.90
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.57
Rīgas FS vs Tukums preview and prediction
The match
The Virsliga sees Rīgas FS take on Tukums on Monday 25 May, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at LNK Sporta Parks. Rīgas FS are 1st with 89 points from 35 games (top of the table), while Tukums sit 9th on 25 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 64 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rīgas FS's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat FS Jelgava 4–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tukums's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Riga 1–3 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Rīgas FS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 April 2026, finished Tukums 1–2 Rīgas FS.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.7 for Rīgas FS and 0.9 for Tukums. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rīgas FS 75%, draw 16%, Tukums 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.90 – 59% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Rīgas FS 3–0 Tukums. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rīgas FS75%fair 1.33 · @1.13
Draw16%fair 6.16 · @6.80
Tukums9%fair 11.55 · @14.00
3.54Expected goals
2.68Rīgas FS xG
0.86Tukums xG
59%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
3–09%
2–19%
3–18%
1–08%
1–17%
From our goals model: Rīgas FS 2.7 – 0.9 Tukums expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Rīgas FS vs Tukums?
On our numbers Rīgas FS have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Tukums 9%.
How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS vs Tukums?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs Tukums?
Our predicted score is Rīgas FS 3–0 Tukums, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Rīgas FS vs Tukums?
Rīgas FS vs Tukums (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at LNK Sporta Parks.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
