Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Grobiņa to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGrobiņa to win ✗58% · @1.91
Double chanceGrobiņa or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.48
Ogre United vs Grobiņa preview and prediction
The match
Grobiņa travel to face Ogre United in the Virsliga on Monday 25 May (16:00 WAT). Ogre United are 10th with 19 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Grobiņa sit 8th on 29 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Ogre United's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to BFC Daugavpils 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Grobiņa's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Super Nova 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 April 2026, finished Ogre United 1–1 Grobiņa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for Ogre United and 1.8 for Grobiņa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ogre United 20%, draw 22%, Grobiņa 58%.
Safer route: Grobiņa or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Grobiņa to win at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Grobiņa or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Ogre United 0–1 Grobiņa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ogre United20%fair 4.94 · @3.55
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.35
Grobiņa58%fair 1.73 · @1.91
2.71Expected goals
0.94Ogre United xG
1.78Grobiņa xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: Ogre United 0.9 – 1.8 Grobiņa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ogre United vs Grobiņa?
Our pick is Grobiņa or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ogre United vs Grobiņa?
On our numbers Ogre United have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Grobiņa 58%.
How many goals will there be in Ogre United vs Grobiņa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ogre United vs Grobiņa?
Our predicted score is Ogre United 0–1 Grobiņa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ogre United vs Grobiņa?
Ogre United vs Grobiņa (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
