Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRīgas FS to win ✓68% · @1.55
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.51
Auda vs Rīgas FS preview and prediction
The match
Rīgas FS travel to Skonto stadions in the Virsliga on Sunday 17 May (15:00 WAT) to face Auda. Auda are 3rd with 73 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Rīgas FS sit 1st on 89 points (top of the table). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Auda's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Riga 1–4 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Rīgas FS's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat BFC Daugavpils 1–0 away. On the road they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rīgas FS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 April 2026, finished Rīgas FS 0–1 Auda.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.8 for Auda and 2.2 for Rīgas FS. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Auda 12%, draw 20%, Rīgas FS 68%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Auda 0–2 Rīgas FS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Auda12%fair 8.62 · @5.20
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.80
Rīgas FS68%fair 1.47 · @1.55
3.04Expected goals
0.82Auda xG
2.22Rīgas FS xG
57%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: Auda 0.8 – 2.2 Rīgas FS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Auda vs Rīgas FS?
On our numbers Auda have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rīgas FS 68%.
How many goals will there be in Auda vs Rīgas FS?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auda vs Rīgas FS?
Our predicted score is Auda 0–2 Rīgas FS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Auda vs Rīgas FS?
Auda vs Rīgas FS (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
