FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils preview and prediction
The match
FK Liepaja host BFC Daugavpils in the Virsliga on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Daugavas stadions. FK Liepaja are 5th with 51 points from 36 games (in the top half), while BFC Daugavpils sit 4th on 52 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FK Liepaja's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Ogre United 4–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
BFC Daugavpils's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Rīgas FS 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished BFC Daugavpils 2–0 FK Liepaja.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for FK Liepaja and 0.8 for BFC Daugavpils. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Liepaja 64%, draw 25%, BFC Daugavpils 11%.
Safer route: FK Liepaja or draw (89%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: FK Liepaja 2–0 BFC Daugavpils. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Liepaja64%fair 1.56 · @1.64
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.80
BFC Daugavpils11%fair 8.75 · @4.50
2.83Expected goals
2.03FK Liepaja xG
0.80BFC Daugavpils xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 2.0 – 0.8 BFC Daugavpils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 25% and BFC Daugavpils 11%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 2–0 BFC Daugavpils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
