The Virsliga sees Riga take on Auda on Tuesday 12 May, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Skonto stadions. Riga are 2nd with 83 points from 35 games (in the top four), while Auda sit 3rd on 73 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Riga's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat BFC Daugavpils 3–1 away. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Auda's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Grobiņa 7–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Riga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 March 2026, finished Auda 1–2 Riga. Across their last 2 meetings Riga have won 2, Auda 0, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.6 for Riga and 1.0 for Auda. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Riga 69%, draw 21%, Auda 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Riga to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.48, above our fair price of 1.44, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Riga 2–0 Auda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Riga69%fair 1.44 · @1.48
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @4.10
Auda10%fair 10.24 · @5.75
3.51Expected goals
2.55Riga xG
0.96Auda xG
59%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–08%
1–17%
From our goals model: Riga 2.6 – 1.0 Auda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Riga to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Riga vs Auda?
On our numbers Riga have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Auda 10%.
How many goals will there be in Riga vs Auda?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Riga vs Auda?
Our predicted score is Riga 2–0 Auda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Riga vs Auda?
Riga vs Auda (Virsliga) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
