The Virsliga sees FK Liepaja take on Ogre United on Tuesday 12 May, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Daugavas stadions. FK Liepaja are 5th with 51 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Ogre United sit 10th on 19 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 32 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FK Liepaja's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Rīgas FS 0–5 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Ogre United's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Tukums 1–6 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
FK Liepaja arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 March 2026, finished Ogre United 0–1 FK Liepaja.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.3 for FK Liepaja and 0.7 for Ogre United. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Liepaja 72%, draw 20%, Ogre United 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FK Liepaja to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: FK Liepaja 2–0 Ogre United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Liepaja72%fair 1.39 · @1.36
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @4.40
Ogre United8%fair 12.72 · @7.25
2.94Expected goals
2.27FK Liepaja xG
0.68Ogre United xG
54%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 2.3 – 0.7 Ogre United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FK Liepaja vs Ogre United?
Our pick is FK Liepaja to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs Ogre United?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ogre United 8%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs Ogre United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs Ogre United?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 2–0 Ogre United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs Ogre United?
FK Liepaja vs Ogre United (Virsliga) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
