The Virsliga sees Rīgas FS take on FK Liepaja on Friday 8 May, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at LNK Sporta Parks - artificial grass. Rīgas FS are 1st with 89 points from 35 games (top of the table), while FK Liepaja sit 5th on 51 points (in the top half). A gap of 38 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rīgas FS's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Riga 3–3 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FK Liepaja's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Riga 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Rīgas FS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 March 2026, finished FK Liepaja 0–1 Rīgas FS.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Rīgas FS and 0.8 for FK Liepaja. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rīgas FS 64%, draw 23%, FK Liepaja 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Rīgas FS 2–0 FK Liepaja. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rīgas FS64%fair 1.55 · @1.33
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @4.40
FK Liepaja13%fair 7.70 · @8.00
2.75Expected goals
1.97Rīgas FS xG
0.78FK Liepaja xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Rīgas FS 2.0 – 0.8 FK Liepaja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja?
On our numbers Rīgas FS have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FK Liepaja 13%.
How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja?
Our predicted score is Rīgas FS 2–0 FK Liepaja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja?
Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at LNK Sporta Parks - artificial grass.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
