Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAuda to win ✓65% · @1.80
Double chanceAuda or draw ✓86% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.74
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.59
Super Nova vs Auda preview and prediction
The match
The Virsliga sees Super Nova take on Auda on Friday 1 May, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Slokas Stadions. Super Nova are 6th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Auda sit 3rd on 73 points (in the top four). A gap of 33 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Super Nova's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat BFC Daugavpils 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Auda's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Tukums 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Auda 2–1 Super Nova.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Super Nova and 1.9 for Auda. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Super Nova 14%, draw 21%, Auda 65%.
Safer route: Auda or draw (86%) at 1.16.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.74.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Auda to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Super Nova 0–1 Auda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Super Nova14%fair 7.28 · @3.90
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.35
Auda65%fair 1.54 · @1.80
2.68Expected goals
0.76Super Nova xG
1.93Auda xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Super Nova 0.8 – 1.9 Auda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Auda to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Super Nova vs Auda?
On our numbers Super Nova have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Auda 65%.
How many goals will there be in Super Nova vs Auda?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Super Nova vs Auda?
Our predicted score is Super Nova 0–1 Auda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Super Nova vs Auda?
Super Nova vs Auda (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Slokas Stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
