Tukums host FS Jelgava in the Virsliga on Friday 1 May, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Tukums are 9th with 25 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while FS Jelgava sit 7th on 35 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Tukums's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Auda 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
FS Jelgava's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Ogre United 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
FS Jelgava arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished FS Jelgava 2–1 Tukums.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Tukums and 1.5 for FS Jelgava. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 62%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Tukums 1–1 FS Jelgava. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tukums35%fair 2.89 · @2.80
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.30
FS Jelgava45%fair 2.25 · @2.23
2.85Expected goals
1.31Tukums xG
1.53FS Jelgava xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Tukums 1.3 – 1.5 FS Jelgava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Tukums vs FS Jelgava?
On our numbers Tukums have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FS Jelgava 45%.
How many goals will there be in Tukums vs FS Jelgava?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tukums vs FS Jelgava?
Our predicted score is Tukums 1–1 FS Jelgava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Tukums vs FS Jelgava?
Tukums vs FS Jelgava (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
