Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.58
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓17% · fair 5.83
Grobiņa vs Rīgas FS preview and prediction
The match
The Virsliga sees Grobiņa take on Rīgas FS on Wednesday 22 April, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). Grobiņa are 8th with 29 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Rīgas FS sit 1st on 89 points (top of the table). A gap of 60 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Grobiņa's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Riga 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Rīgas FS's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Tukums 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.4 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rīgas FS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.5 for Grobiņa and 1.9 for Rīgas FS. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 49%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Grobiņa 9%, draw 18%, Rīgas FS 73%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.58.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Grobiņa 0–1 Rīgas FS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Grobiņa9%fair 10.68 · @9.00
Draw18%fair 5.52 · @4.90
Rīgas FS73%fair 1.38 · @1.25
2.42Expected goals
0.49Grobiņa xG
1.92Rīgas FS xG
49%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–216%
0–311%
0–09%
1–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Grobiņa 0.5 – 1.9 Rīgas FS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rīgas FS to win✓
73%
1.38
1.25
Double chance
Rīgas FS or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.58
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.19
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
2.04
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.38
Half-time result
Rīgas FS ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rīgas FS / FT Rīgas FS✗
46%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
17%
5.83
–
Form
Grobiņa – last 6
LDLDWL
18 Apr
vs Riga
0–3
L
13 Apr
@ Ogre United
1–1
D
9 Apr
vs Super Nova
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Tukums
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ BFC Daugavpils
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Hegelmann Litauen
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Rīgas FS – last 5
WWLWW
13 Apr
@ Tukums
2–1
W
8 Apr
@ FS Jelgava
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Auda
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ FK Liepaja
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Ogre United
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grobiņa and Rīgas FS.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Grobiņa vs Rīgas FS?
On our numbers Grobiņa have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Rīgas FS 73%.
How many goals will there be in Grobiņa vs Rīgas FS?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grobiņa vs Rīgas FS?
Our predicted score is Grobiņa 0–1 Rīgas FS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Grobiņa vs Rīgas FS?
Grobiņa vs Rīgas FS (Virsliga) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
