Value bet: Auda to win @ 1.67 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAuda to win ✓66% · @1.67
Double chanceAuda or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.71
FS Jelgava vs Auda preview and prediction
The match
FS Jelgava host Auda in the Virsliga on Tuesday 21 April, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs. FS Jelgava are 7th with 35 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Auda sit 3rd on 73 points (in the top four). A gap of 38 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FS Jelgava's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to BFC Daugavpils 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Auda's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Ogre United 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Auda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for FS Jelgava and 1.9 for Auda. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FS Jelgava 15%, draw 19%, Auda 66%.
Safer route: Auda or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Auda to win at 1.67 – 66% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: FS Jelgava 0–2 Auda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FS Jelgava15%fair 6.82 · @4.40
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.65
Auda66%fair 1.52 · @1.67
2.71Expected goals
0.76FS Jelgava xG
1.94Auda xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: FS Jelgava 0.8 – 1.9 Auda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Auda to win✓
66%
1.52
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Auda or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.36
Half-time result
Auda ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Auda / FT Auda✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.71
–
Form
FS Jelgava – last 5
LLDWL
16 Apr
@ BFC Daugavpils
0–1
L
8 Apr
vs Rīgas FS
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Super Nova
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Tukums
2–1
W
27 Feb
@ FK Liepaja
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Auda – last 6
DLWWLW
17 Apr
@ Ogre United
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs BFC Daugavpils
2–3
L
8 Apr
@ FK Liepaja
2–1
W
4 Apr
@ Rīgas FS
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Riga
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Super Nova
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FS Jelgava and Auda.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FS Jelgava vs Auda?
On our numbers FS Jelgava have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Auda 66%.
How many goals will there be in FS Jelgava vs Auda?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FS Jelgava vs Auda?
Our predicted score is FS Jelgava 0–2 Auda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is FS Jelgava vs Auda?
FS Jelgava vs Auda (Virsliga) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
