Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–015% · fair 6.85
Rīgas FS vs Super Nova preview and prediction
The match
Rīgas FS host Super Nova in the Virsliga on Saturday 18 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at LNK Sporta Parks - artificial grass. Rīgas FS are 1st with 89 points from 35 games (top of the table), while Super Nova sit 6th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 49 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rīgas FS's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Tukums 2–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.4 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Super Nova's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Riga 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Rīgas FS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.3 for Rīgas FS and 0.6 for Super Nova. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rīgas FS 74%, draw 20%, Super Nova 6%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rīgas FS 2–0 Super Nova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rīgas FS74%fair 1.35 · @1.17
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @5.75
Super Nova6%fair 17.96 · @14.00
2.92Expected goals
2.32Rīgas FS xG
0.59Super Nova xG
50%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–015%
1–013%
3–011%
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
From our goals model: Rīgas FS 2.3 – 0.6 Super Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rīgas FS to win
74%
1.35
1.17
Double chance
Rīgas FS or draw
94%
1.06
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
50%
2.00
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
60%
1.66
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
61%
1.65
1.70
Half-time result
Rīgas FS ahead at half-time
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rīgas FS / FT Rīgas FS
52%
1.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0
15%
6.85
–
Form
Rīgas FS – last 5
WWLWW
13 Apr
@ Tukums
2–1
W
8 Apr
@ FS Jelgava
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Auda
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ FK Liepaja
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Ogre United
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Super Nova – last 6
LWWWDL
14 Apr
vs Riga
1–4
L
9 Apr
@ Grobiņa
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Ogre United
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Tukums
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs FS Jelgava
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Auda
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rīgas FS and Super Nova.
What is the prediction for Rīgas FS vs Super Nova?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Rīgas FS vs Super Nova?
On our numbers Rīgas FS have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Super Nova 6%.
How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS vs Super Nova?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs Super Nova?
Our predicted score is Rīgas FS 2–0 Super Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Rīgas FS vs Super Nova?
Rīgas FS vs Super Nova (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at LNK Sporta Parks - artificial grass.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
