The Virsliga sees Ogre United take on Auda on Friday 17 April, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Ogre United are 10th with 19 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Auda sit 3rd on 73 points (in the top four). A gap of 54 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ogre United's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Grobiņa 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Auda's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to BFC Daugavpils 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Auda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.6 for Ogre United and 2.0 for Auda. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ogre United 10%, draw 21%, Auda 69%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Ogre United 0–2 Auda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ogre United10%fair 10.00 · @7.80
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @4.20
Auda69%fair 1.45 · @1.36
2.64Expected goals
0.64Ogre United xG
2.00Auda xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–214%
0–114%
0–310%
1–29%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ogre United 0.6 – 2.0 Auda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Auda to win✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Double chance
Auda or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.36
Half-time result
Auda ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Auda / FT Auda✗
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
14%
6.98
–
Form
Ogre United – last 6
DLLLDL
13 Apr
vs Grobiņa
1–1
D
7 Apr
@ BFC Daugavpils
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Super Nova
1–2
L
20 Mar
vs FK Liepaja
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Tukums
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Rīgas FS
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Auda – last 6
LWWLWL
12 Apr
vs BFC Daugavpils
2–3
L
8 Apr
@ FK Liepaja
2–1
W
4 Apr
@ Rīgas FS
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Riga
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Super Nova
2–1
W
17 Feb
@ Riga
1–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ogre United and Auda.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ogre United vs Auda?
On our numbers Ogre United have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Auda 69%.
How many goals will there be in Ogre United vs Auda?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ogre United vs Auda?
Our predicted score is Ogre United 0–2 Auda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ogre United vs Auda?
Ogre United vs Auda (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
