Super Nova travel to face Grobiņa in the Virsliga on Thursday 9 April (16:00 WAT). Grobiņa are 8th with 29 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Super Nova sit 6th on 40 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Grobiņa's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Tukums 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Super Nova's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Ogre United 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Grobiņa and 1.1 for Super Nova. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Grobiņa 40%, draw 24%, Super Nova 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Grobiņa 1–1 Super Nova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Grobiņa40%fair 2.48 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
Super Nova36%fair 2.80 · @2.90
2.31Expected goals
1.20Grobiņa xG
1.11Super Nova xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Grobiņa 1.2 – 1.1 Super Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grobiņa to win✗
40%
2.48
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grobiņa / FT Grobiņa✗
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.58
–
Form
Grobiņa – last 3
DWL
5 Apr
@ Tukums
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ BFC Daugavpils
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Hegelmann Litauen
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Super Nova – last 6
WWDLLD
3 Apr
@ Ogre United
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Tukums
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs FS Jelgava
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Auda
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ Paide
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Kalju Nomme
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grobiņa and Super Nova.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Grobiņa vs Super Nova?
On our numbers Grobiņa have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Super Nova 36%.
How many goals will there be in Grobiņa vs Super Nova?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grobiņa vs Super Nova?
Our predicted score is Grobiņa 1–1 Super Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Grobiņa vs Super Nova?
Grobiņa vs Super Nova (Virsliga) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
